Crime

Is Kristin Smart buried at SLO County home? Soil tests may have answers

As the San Luis Obispo County Sheriff’s Office spent Wednesday executing a search warrant at the Arroyo Grande home of Susan Flores, the mother of Kristin Smart’s convicted killer Paul Flores, scientists were busy conducting soil tests around the property and a neighboring yard.

The same soil testing method was previously used to identify inconclusive evidence of human remains at the fence between Susan Flores’ property and her neighbors’ yard — but the science behind the findings has since improved, researchers told The Tribune on Wednesday.

Paul Flores was convicted in 2022 of killing Smart when she was a first-year student at Cal Poly. Smart went missing nearly 30 years ago to the day on Memorial Day weekend of 1996.

Her body has never been recovered, though the leading theory — and the theory Paul Flores was convicted on — was that at some point Smart was buried beneath the deck of Paul Flores’ father, Ruben Flores, before she was moved in February 2020. Ruben Flores faced trial at the same time as his son for allegedly helping hide the body, but a separate jury found him not guilty.

Susan Flores has never been charged with a crime associated with Kristin Smart’s disappearance.

On Wednesday, community members crowded around Susan Flores’ home during the search, hopeful that Smart’s body may finally be found.

Soil vapor probes were seen in several locations in the neighboring home’s yard collecting samples for a process known as “vapor intrusion testing” — and the same scientists who ran soil tests there three years ago were spotted on scene, too.

The method tests for gas molecules in soil known as volatile organic compounds, certain types of which can be emitted from the natural decomposition process of living organisms — including human bodies.

Soil vapor testing sits in the front yard of the property next door to Susan Flores’ home on East Branch Street in Arroyo Grande as part of the Kristin Smart investigation on May 6, 2026. Susan Flores is the mother of Paul Flores, who was convicted of Smart’s murder in 2022.
Soil vapor testing sits in the front yard of the property next door to Susan Flores’ home on East Branch Street in Arroyo Grande as part of the Kristin Smart investigation on May 6, 2026. Susan Flores is the mother of Paul Flores, who was convicted of Smart’s murder in 2022. Joan Lynch jlynch@thetribunenews.com

The same process was used to help identify the location of two bodies in a murder case in Washington, where the scientists found elevated levels of the same decomposing human body compounds as they did near Susan Flores’ Arroyo Grande yard.

Environmental engineer Tim Nelligan has worked on the technology for many years. He went to Cal Poly at the same time as Smart and was inspired to use his expertise to help with the case later in his career alongside environmental chemist Steve Hoyt, former FBI chemist Brian Eckenrode and former federal prosecutor Tim Perry.

The team previously tested Flores’ neighbors soil in December 2020, August 2021 and March 2023.

All tests yielded the same result: Molecules only present when a human body decomposes were present next to Susan Flores’ back fence, they said.

Computer modeling from a team of scientists shows how soil vapor sampling discovered human decomposition compounds in Marcia Papich’s yard at 523 East Branch St., adjacent to Susan Flores’ fence and home at 529 East Branch St., in August 2021. The data shows compounds were found at more than 3100 parts per billion in the soil in the red zone.
Computer modeling from a team of scientists shows how soil vapor sampling discovered human decomposition compounds in Marcia Papich’s yard at 523 East Branch St., adjacent to Susan Flores’ fence and home at 529 East Branch St., in August 2021. The data shows compounds were found at more than 3100 parts per billion in the soil in the red zone. Photo courtesy of Tim Nelligan
Computer modeling from a team of scientists shows how soil vapor sampling discovered human decomposition compounds in Marcia Papich’s yard at 523 East Branch St., adjacent to Susan Flores’ fence and home at 529 East Branch St., in March 2023. The data shows compounds were found at more than 3100 parts per billion in the soil in the red zone, matching earlier results from two years prior.
Computer modeling from a team of scientists shows how soil vapor sampling discovered human decomposition compounds in Marcia Papich’s yard at 523 East Branch St., adjacent to Susan Flores’ fence and home at 529 East Branch St., in March 2023. The data shows compounds were found at more than 3100 parts per billion in the soil in the red zone, matching earlier results from two years prior. Photo courtesy of Tim Nelligan

According to their data, more than 90% of the volatile organic compounds found when a human body decomposes were detected near the fence. The only compounds that were not detected were those associated with decomposing flesh, which would not be expected this long after Smart’s disappearance, Nelligan previously told The Tribune in 2023.

However, the science at the time was new, theoretical and ultimately found to be inconclusive evidence by law enforcement.

While the compounds the team tested for and found are present in decomposing human bodies, those compounds can also appear in other substances or decomposition processes — for example, in dead pigs.

But Hoyt told The Tribune on Wednesday that he, Nelligan and Eckenrode have a forthcoming study currently under peer-review that differentiates the volatile organic compound profiles of different decomposition processes — showing the difference between human remains and other remains.

Hoyt said the study increases the probability of their past soil tests near Flores’ yard “not being something else.”

“We know that what we were looking at before was not a pig,” he told The Tribune.

Now, the scientists appear to have returned to Flores’ property, this time alongside Sheriff’s Office investigators.

Environmental engineer Tim Nelligan, center, performs soil vapor testing in the front yard of the property next door to Susan Flores’ home on East Branch Street in Arroyo Grande as part of the Kristin Smart investigation on May 6, 2026. Susan Flores is the mother of Paul Flores, who was convicted of Smart’s murder in 2022.
Environmental engineer Tim Nelligan, center, performs soil vapor testing in the front yard of the property next door to Susan Flores’ home on East Branch Street in Arroyo Grande as part of the Kristin Smart investigation on May 6, 2026. Susan Flores is the mother of Paul Flores, who was convicted of Smart’s murder in 2022. Joan Lynch jlynch@thetribunenews.com

Though the Sheriff’s Office has not explicitly said what its search consists of, and Hoyt declined to confirm if any of the study’s members were there, Nelligan was seen at the scene Wednesday next to one of the probes set up in the neighbor’s front yard closer to Flores’ house.

Another probe was set up on the other side of the neighbor’s yard, farther away from Flores’ house, around 11:45 a.m. It was gone by 12:30 p.m.

The placement is consistent with previous rounds of soil testing, when samples were collected from all over the neighbors’ yard, with samples from areas farther from Flores’ property acting as controls for comparison.

The probes are set up by drilling holes in the ground, inserting sampling tubes of 5 to 15 feet into the holes and connecting the tubes to a collection canister. The canister is then sealed, excess air is expelled, and soil vapor is pumped in. Onlookers said they heard sounds of drilling coming from the backyard Wednesday.

The sampling takes about half an hour, Hoyt said.

Environmental engineer Tim Nelligan, environmental chemist Steve Hoyt and former FBI chemist Brian Eckenrode (not pictured) used their soil vapor method to test Susan Flores’ neighbor’s yard in the search for Kristin Smart’s body and then were hired to do similar testing in a Washington state murder case. This is the system the scientists use to analyze the soil vapor samples.
Environmental engineer Tim Nelligan, environmental chemist Steve Hoyt and former FBI chemist Brian Eckenrode (not pictured) used their soil vapor method to test Susan Flores’ neighbor’s yard in the search for Kristin Smart’s body and then were hired to do similar testing in a Washington state murder case. This is the system the scientists use to analyze the soil vapor samples. Laura Dickinson ldickinson@thetribunenews.com

After the samples are collected, “it doesn’t take that long to run them,” he said. “It can be anywhere between 24 hours and two weeks,” depending on how urgently the results are required from the lab, he said.

For a high-profile case like Smart’s, he thinks lab results would probably be rush ordered.

“I would think they would want that,” Hoyt said.

Soil vapor testing sits in the front yard of the property next door to Susan Flores’ home on East Branch Street in Arroyo Grande as part of the Kristin Smart investigation on May 6, 2026. Susan Flores is the mother of Paul Flores, who was convicted of Smart’s murder in 2022.
Soil vapor testing sits in the front yard of the property next door to Susan Flores’ home on East Branch Street in Arroyo Grande as part of the Kristin Smart investigation on May 6, 2026. Susan Flores is the mother of Paul Flores, who was convicted of Smart’s murder in 2022. Joan Lynch jlynch@thetribunenews.com

Will cadaver dogs be brought to Susan Flores’ house?

Wednesday was only the second time ever the Sheriff’s Office has searched Susan Flores’ yard, the first time being in 2000. The property was searched two other times in 1997 and 2007 in relation to a civil lawsuit.

Experts say there is one other method that can be cross-compared with the soil sampling to determine if a body is or was ever in Susan Flores’ yard: cadaver dogs.

Forensic chemist Kenneth Furton, who was called as a witness by the defense in another high profile case using soil science, previously told The Tribune that cadaver dogs can confirm the soil science with 90% accuracy.

A cadaver dog searched the property in a March 1997 search of Susan Flores’ backyard organized by Smart family attorney James Murphy with the permission of Susan Flores’ tenant at the time. Though the dog showed strong interest in the corner of the yard, dog handler Adela Morris’ notes were inconclusive as to a specific location or alert.

In 2021, she said that after reviewing her notes with decades more experience working with human remains detection dogs under her belt since, she would have classified her dog’s behavior in Flores’ backyard as a change in behavior that signified an attempt to alert, without being able to locate the primary scent source.

As of Wednesday afternoon, no information had been released about the potential use of cadaver dogs in the current search and none have been spotted on scene.

Just before 4:30 p.m. Wednesday, the Sheriff’s Office said in a news release update that the search would continue at Flores’ property Thursday.

San Luis Obispo County Sheriff’s Office Det. Clint Cole speaks to others outside the house of Susan Flores on Wednesday, May 6, 2026, as a search warrant was served at the home as part of the Kristin Smart investigation. Susan Flores is the mother of Paul Flores, who was convicted of Kristin Smart’s murder in 2022.
San Luis Obispo County Sheriff’s Office Det. Clint Cole speaks to others outside the house of Susan Flores on Wednesday, May 6, 2026, as a search warrant was served at the home as part of the Kristin Smart investigation. Susan Flores is the mother of Paul Flores, who was convicted of Kristin Smart’s murder in 2022. Joan Lynch jlynch@thetribunewnews.com

This story was originally published May 7, 2026 at 9:00 AM.

CORRECTION: This story has been updated to reflect previous work by forensic chemist Kenneth Furton. He was called as a witness by the defense in another high profile case using soil science, not the Flores case.

Corrected May 7, 2026
Chloe Shrager
The Tribune
Chloe Shrager is the courts and crimes reporter for The Tribune. She grew up in Palo Alto, California, and graduated from Stanford with a B.A. in Political Science. When not writing, she enjoys surfing, backpacking, skiing and hanging out with her cat, Billy Goat.
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